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Crown Green Handicap

Tommy Evans

Team: Carr Mill ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

916

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

55

Matches Played

19

Wins

36

Losses

35%

Win Rate

6.6

Avg Win Margin

9.8

Avg Loss Margin

14-16

Home Record

5-20

Away Record

54%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
30 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/25/2026

Only 30 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 55 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 May12 Jul6 Sept25 Jul28 May6 Aug20 May25 Aug-14916

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.16
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.3
score-0.44→contribution-0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.9
score-0.31→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
35%
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
1002
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.388
Sample Size Confidence
54%(30/41 matches)
Rating884 → shrunk 938
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)884
Recency Blend40% (30 recent matches)
Final Rating916
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

19W36L55 matches·34.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Carr Mill A2022–2026Division 13492526.5%
Carr Mill B2022–2023Division 221101147.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/25/2026Trevor BoldH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2026Keith WilliamsA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Peter CaseH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
4/14/2026Carl DoyleA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025Phil AspinallH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2025W DitchfieldA0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision 1
7/8/2025Steve SaundersH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/27/2025Anthony GartsideH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2025Lewis JonesA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
5/6/2025M JonesH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
4/22/2025John StirzakerH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2025Gordon DerbyshireA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
4/8/2025Ray HeskethH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
9/3/2024John BartonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Simon ChurchillH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2024Ian PalmerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2024Danny BarwiseA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 1
7/23/2024John WilsonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
7/16/2024Andrew TrimnellA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/9/2024Mike CoxH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
7/3/2024Alan BirchA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2024Stuart HodsonH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
6/18/2024G EdmundsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2024Connor FlahertyH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
5/14/2024Andy ToppingH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
5/7/2024Colin DugganH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
4/30/2024Mark HoldenA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
4/23/2024Keith MacklinH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
4/16/2024John DalzielA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 1
4/9/2024Roland GaskellH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023David BrandA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Garry CarrH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Eric DaviesA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Jack HowarthH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023David Blackburn-WoodsH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Malcolm BennetA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Fred AndertonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022Ray HeskethH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Steve ThomasA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022Michael PollockA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022A GradyH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Wilf KayH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Anthony JonesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022Harry RigbyH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022Peter CookeA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Ernest ShawH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022John BartonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022John JellyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022David EvansA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022David BarrowA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022B MurphyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022Ray MaleyH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
4/26/2022James LongshawH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
4/19/2022Andy WilkinsonA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
4/12/2022Mark HoldenH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLWLL
Last 1030% win rate↑ improving
WLWLLLWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ray Hesketh202100%4/8/2025
John Barton11250%9/3/2024
Mark Holden0220%4/30/2024
Trevor Bold101100%8/25/2026
Keith Williams0110%7/15/2026
Peter Case101100%7/7/2026
Carl Doyle0110%4/14/2026
Phil Aspinall0110%8/26/2025
W Ditchfield0110%8/5/2025
Steve Saunders101100%7/8/2025
Biggest Win
David Blackburn-Woods (+15)6/20/2023
Heaviest Defeat
W Ditchfield (-21)8/5/2025
Best Season
202233% · 18 matches
Worst Season
202424% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
41% → 29%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
95455 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
4-2017% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
15-1648% win rate

By Division

Division 19-25 (26%)
Division 210-11 (48%)
Division 126.5%
9W·25L·34 played
Division 247.6%
10W·11L·21 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Aug 25, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (55 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026